Over the course of this week, Padres Prospectus will announce their Top 50 prospect list, unveiling ten prospects at a time along with some brief commentary from our writing staff. One of the reasons that sites like MLB Pipeline and Minor League Ball only list top 20-30 prospects is because it can be a bit of a crap shoot once you get past that number; nevertheless, we’ve compiled our rankings by trying to strike an appropriate balance between the floors, ceilings, and past performances of prospects in the organization.
With that being said, there are a few guys omitted from the list that could have just as easily ended up on on tail-end depending on the evaluator(s).
**Players in Extended Spring Training and Instructional Leagues will be listed as unassigned.
30. Franmil Reyes – RF, San Antonio Missions (Double-A)
At 6’5″ and 240 lbs, Reyes has the size that you look for in a slugging corner outfielder. As a 21-year-old, he’s shown that he can be a reliable middle of the order presence and isn’t overwhelmed by Double-A pitching (22.8% strikeout rate). He should stay in San Antonio the duration of the season and improve his approach, but he strikes me as the type of player that could put up some big power numbers in the Pacific Coast League (Triple-A). He hit 16 dingers last year in Lake Elsinore and seems to be on pace for that this year, but he’ll need to add a bit more pop if he wants to prove he can be an everyday major leaguer. – Marcus Pond
29. Michael Kelly – SP, San Antonio Missions (Double-A)
Kelly was taken out of high school in the first round of the 2011 MLB Draft, and although he’s worked slowly through the minors, he’s had his best season to date in 2017 (9.2 K/9 rate, 2.86 ERA). He tops out at 94 MPH on the fastball and is able to locate his secondary pitches well enough to mess with hitters at the Double-A level, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him make the leap to the majors at some point near the end of the year. His ranking here is more about his proximity to the majors than his actual ceiling, which is likely that of a back of the rotation guy. – Marcus Pond
28. José Rondon – SS, San Antonio Missions (Double-A)
Back when the Padres traded for Huston Street, Rondon was the youngest, highest upside piece they got in return, and one of the Angels top prospects. Their farm was pretty weak at the time, however, and despite Rondon’s efforts, the search for the shortstop of the Padres future is far from resolved. He could be a solid utility player off the bench for a MLB team – the glove certainly plays, and he’s moved around the infield this year to give Luis Urías some experience at short. The question is how well he’ll hit. He was overmatched in a short stint with the Padres last year, but at 23 years old, he’s still young enough to believe he could develop into something. He has added a little bit of power this year, and is slugging a career high .427 in the first half for the Missions. – Marcus Pond
27. Luis Campusano – C, Unassigned
The Padres’ second-round pick in this year’s draft, Campusano (announced in the draft as Luis Campusano-Bracero) is a high school catcher from Georgia who profiles as a low-average power hitter with a good arm behind the plate. We posted some links to evaluators’ takes on him on draft day (https://padsprospectus.com/
26. Franchy Cordero – OF, San Diego Padres
Franchy Cordero was playing in High-A Lake Elsinore at the beginning of 2016, and is now playing center field in the majors. He made the leap by showing that he was able to learn a new position (he was a shortstop up until 2015, though he didn’t have a particularly good glove) and while using his speed and gap power to wreak havoc on pitching. He hit 16 triples across three leagues last year, and we’ve seen him move from first to third with the best of them in Petco this year. The key for him will be to cut down on the strikeouts (he currently owns a 39% K rate) and to continue to progress in the outfield. While he’s made some brilliant plays, there are still room for improvement. – Marcus Pond
25. Walker Lockett – SP, El Paso Chihuahuas (Triple-A)
The 2012 fourth-rounder drafted out of high school had a breakout 2016, going all the way from Low-A to a few starts at AAA El Paso. As a 23-year-old at El Paso to start this year, Lockett hasn’t continued his upward ascent, getting 5.3 strikeouts per 9 innings with a 4.39 ERA before going on the DL with a lower back strain earlier this month. He has previous injury issues, including blisters and a shoulder problem, so will need a clean bill of health plus an uptick in performance to make the final jump from AAA to the Padres. – Dan McMenamin
24. Enyel De Los Santos – SP, San Antonio Missions (Double-A)
The Mariners traded De Los Santos to San Diego for Joaquin Benoit in 2015. The 21-year-old right-handed starting pitcher has been somewhat aggressively assigned to AA San Antonio this year to face opponents an average of 3+ years older than him and hasn’t fared particularly well, with a 5 ERA through Sunday. De Los Santos has a mid-90s fastball but lacks a quality secondary pitch, so will need to develop one to stick in the upper minors or big leagues. – Dan McMenamin
23. Gabriel Arias – SS, Unassigned
Like Almanzar, Arias is only seventeen years of age, so there’s a sizable range of risk and reward associated with the young shortstop,but his ceiling isn’t as high as Almanzar’s. Nonetheless, Arias appears to possess the tools to develop into at least a quality starter down the road; although, the plethora of middle infielders in the system could push him to third base or the outfield.–Travis Barnett
22. Michael Gettys – CF, Lake Elsinore Storm (High-A)
If there’s one word that would describe 2014 2nd round pick CF Michael Gettys, it’s potential. He has the potential to be a true 5-tool player – a good CF defensively, a strong arm, good speed, ability to hit, and can hit for (sometimes insane) power. However, Gettys has a long way to go before he uses all those tools at the major-league level. At 21 years old in Lake Elsinore, Gettys has 103 strikouts in 67 games compared to only 26 walks. Also, despite an acceptable .259/.336/.436 batting line, Gettys’ ISO (isolated power) is only .177, which is not enough to justify his plus 30 percent strikeout rate. Obviously, Gettys problems identifying pitches and making consistent contact won’t be rectified by a promotion. —Chad Hamner
21. Luis Almanzar – SS, Tri-City Dust Devils (Low-A)
At just seventeen years of age, Almanzar could easily find himself near the top of our list with a strong showing for Tri-City. His tool grades entering into the international signing period last year suggested that he could one day be a true five-tool player, flashing both plus hitting ability and plus power. The only lingering question in his projection was whether he would outgrow the shortstop position as he filled out his frame.–Travis Barnett