Over the course of this week, Padres Prospectus will announce their Top 50 prospect list, unveiling ten prospects at a time along with some brief commentary from our writing staff. One of the reasons that sites like MLB Pipeline and Minor League Ball only list top 20-30 prospects is because it can be a bit of a crap shoot once you get past that number; nevertheless, we’ve compiled our rankings by trying to strike an appropriate balance between the floors, ceilings, and past performances of prospects in the organization.
With that being said, there are a few guys omitted from the list that could have just as easily ended up on on tail-end depending on the evaluator(s).
**Players in Extended Spring Training and Instructional Leagues will be listed as unassigned.
41. Eguy Rosario – 3B, Unassigned
After a fifty game appearance for the Fort Wayne TinCaps, the seventeen year old third baseman proved to be not quite ready for the level, slashing just .207/.296/.278, but nonetheless, he flashed his tantalizing speed by stealing seventeen bases. He projects to have plus tools across the board with the exception of the power tool, but it is his age and the volatility of young, small-stature prospects that prevents him from being a bit higher on our list. – Travis Barnett
42. Pedro Avila – SP, Fort Wayne TinCaps (Single-A)
Pedro Avila, a 20-year-old RHP, was acquired from the Nationals in the 2016-2017 offseason in exchange for Derek Norris (who is now with the Rays). Avila impressed last year at the Nationals A-Level affiliate, despite his small stature (5’11”) and thin frame (170lbs), with a 3.48ERA in 93IP with almost a strikeout an inning. In his first year in the Padres organization, however, Avila has struggled at Fort Wayne and Lake Elsinore with a combined 5.33ERA in 49IP. Yet, ERA is not the full story – Avila is striking out more, walking less, and giving up less home runs, which are all important signs of advancement for a young pitcher. He needs to find more consistency and give up less hits, but there is still plenty to be excited about. – Chad Hamner
43. Brett Kennedy – SP, San Antonio Missions (Double-A)
A right-handed pitcher taken in the 11th round of the 2015 draft, Brett Kennedy has had a quietly solid start to his professional career. He sits low 90s with his fastball and has been improving with his slider since the start of the season. He has good control and hasn’t walked more than three hitters in any of his starts for the Missions this year. In his last nine starts, he has a 2.44 ERA to go along with 50 strikeouts and eight walks. While he doesn’t have a super high ceiling, his floor could be higher than expected. – Marcus Pond
44: Jerry Keel – SP, Lake Elsinore Storm (High-A)
A 2015 ninth-rounder from CSU Northridge, Keel has played at three minor league levels this year, starting at Low-A Fort Wayne before jumping up to AA San Antonio and then going down to High-A Lake Elsinore. Across the three levels, the 6 feet 6 inch lefty pitcher has a 3.15 ERA with just under a strikeout per inning. He has been mostly starting in the minors but likely profiles as a lefty-specialist reliever if he makes it to the big leagues — so far this year through Sunday, he had an .839 OPS given up to righty batters vs. an insanely good .291 OPS to lefties. – Dan McMenamin
45: Alison Quintero – C, Unassigned
Quintero was one of the Padres’ bevy of 2016 international signings, coming to the team for a $830K bonus. Baseball America had the 17-year-old catcher from Venezuela as their #22 prospect in the class. He has just played in instructional league games so far and is obviously years away from the majors. – Dan McMenamin
46. Ty France – 1B/3B, San Antonio Missions (Double-A)
A 34th round pick (1,017th) overall, France started out the year in Lake Elsinore and had limited playing time, stuck behind Josh Naylor at first base. After getting a promotion to Double-A, he has exploded, slugging .504 in his first 36 Texas League games while playing a solid third base (a position he played most of the time in college as a San Diego State Aztec). He has some gap power and has really made an impression while playing against advanced competition, and while he doesn’t strike out much (15.7% this year), he will need to walk more than 3.5% and add some long balls if he want a shot at the bigs.
47. Henry Henry – SP, Tri-City Dust Devils (Low-A)
The Padres nabbed Henry Henry and his grade 80 name during the 2015 International Signing Period for $400,000. He’ll need serious time to develop in the lower levels of the minors, but at the time of that signing, Henry was just 16 years old and possessed a heater that touched the lower 90’s. His large projectable frame has seen him already add a couple of ticks to that. – Travis Barnett
48. Brad Wieck – RP, San Antonio Missions (Double-A)
I would’ve put Wieck a bit higher than this at the beginning of the season, after posting a 1.17 ERA and a 13.9 K/9 rate last year, between Lake Elsinore and San Antonio. He’s slipped a bit this year, allowing more runs while seeing his BB/9 rate jump from 3.5 to 4.4, much too high to be a consistently effective late innings option. Teammate Trey Wingenter seems to hold the “closer” title for the Missions, though Wieck has closed out a few games for them. The 6’7″ Texan with a big fastball has a lot of potential, but there aren’t a lot of 25-year-old relievers in Double-A that end up making their way to the majors. – Marcus Pond
49. Justin Lopez – SS, Tri-City Dust Devils (Low-A)
17-year-old SS Justin Lopez joined the organization in the 2016 July 2nd international free agent class, signing for $1.2 million. Despite only being ranked the 28th best IFA prospect for the 2016 class, Lopez has continually impressed scouts with an advanced feel at the plate and steady defense. At his age, most IFA prospects live in the organization’s Dominican facility, but the young shortstop opened the year with Low-A level Tri-City as the only player on the roster born in the year 2000. – Chad Hamner
50. Tre Carter – CF, Tri-City Dust Devils (Low-A)
Tre Carter is a toolsy CF taken by the Padres in the 11th round of the 2016 draft. Old for his class, Carter is already playing in his age 20 season for Tri-City. The young outfielder has insane potential – his ceiling is that of a true 5-tool player. Already, Carter has great speed, good defense, and a strong arm. The main question for Carter, like many young prospects, is his ability to produce at the plate. However, at the lowest stateside farm league, Carter put a very good year together in 2016, slashing .298/.411/.383 in 12 games. His future will rely on his progression in hitting, and adding more power certainly wouldn’t hurt. – Chad Hamner